Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000086 0.000096 0.000106 0.000117 0.000130 0.000143 0.000159
2026-02-01 0.000073 0.000085 0.000099 0.000117 0.000137 0.000160 0.000189
2026-02-08 0.000062 0.000076 0.000093 0.000115 0.000142 0.000174 0.000217
2026-02-15 0.000054 0.000069 0.000088 0.000114 0.000147 0.000189 0.000246
2026-02-22 0.000048 0.000064 0.000085 0.000114 0.000153 0.000205 0.000279
2026-03-01 0.000043 0.000059 0.000081 0.000113 0.000157 0.000218 0.000308
2026-03-08 0.000039 0.000056 0.000079 0.000114 0.000164 0.000236 0.000346
2026-03-15 0.000036 0.000053 0.000077 0.000114 0.000170 0.000252 0.000382
2026-03-22 0.000033 0.000050 0.000075 0.000113 0.000174 0.000265 0.000415
2026-03-29 0.000031 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000182 0.000285 0.000459
2026-04-05 0.000029 0.000046 0.000072 0.000115 0.000187 0.000300 0.000498
2026-04-12 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000115 0.000191 0.000314 0.000536
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000041 0.000068 0.000114 0.000194 0.000328 0.000575
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000114 0.000199 0.000345 0.000620
2026-05-03 0.000022 0.000037 0.000064 0.000113 0.000201 0.000357 0.000658
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000036 0.000062 0.000112 0.000204 0.000371 0.000702
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000209 0.000389 0.000753
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000059 0.000111 0.000211 0.000401 0.000796
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000112 0.000218 0.000423 0.000860
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000223 0.000442 0.000918
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000226 0.000456 0.000970
2026-06-21 0.000015 0.000029 0.000056 0.000114 0.000234 0.000483 0.001048
2026-06-28 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000114 0.000239 0.000501 0.001112